Message: HSR slides for slide deck, and excel spreadsheet

HSR slides for slide deck, and excel spreadsheet
FromFreeman, KevinDate  Monday, September 11, 2017 1:58 PM
To
Strand, Jocelyn;Neale, Chris
Cc
Rush, Brenda
SubjectHSR slides for slide deck, and excel spreadsheet

I added four HSR slides to the end of the slide deck.

 

Jocelyn and Chris, I attached Amanda’s spreadsheet for you too.

 

This solution keeps the 2017 HSR as “real” as possible - - districts that test A1, by using their 7th grade % T2 from last year almost always are equal to or better. And those that did’t test do not get the false benefit of a freeze or waive.

 

Kevin

 

 


MSIP Advisory Committee

Missouri Department 
of Elementary and Secondary Education

Algebra I and English II

SEPTEMBER 2017

      Type comments here.

1




Situational Framework

2



APR impact

3



Calculation Impact

Impacted

Not Impacted

4



Statewide MPI Impact

ContentMinimumMaximum3 yr Avg
ELA0-6.3-2.1
Mathematics0-5.5-1.8

5



LEAs Gaining, Neutral and Losing

Content% Lost% Neutral or Gained
English language arts75%25%
Mathematics60%40%

6



Status Solutions Considered

7



Hold Harmless

8



Status Target Adjustment

9



Status Target Adjustment - ELA

 FloorApproachingOn-Track2020 Target
2017100.0-299.9300.0-370.2370.2-385.6385.7-500.0
Jamtgaard100.0-297.8297.9-368.0368.1-383.5383.6-500.0
Max. Stability100.0-292.0292.1-366.8366.9-382.7382.8-500.0

10



Status Target Adjustment – Math

 FloorApproachingOn-Track2020 Target
2017100.0-299.9300.0-366.6366.7-392.7392.8-500.0
Jamtgaard100.0-298.1298.2-364.8364.9-390.9391.0-500.0
Max. Stability100.0-294.5294.6-360.1360.2-388.6388.7-500.0

11



Status Target Analysis

Advantages

Disadvantages

12



MPI Adjustment

Area3 yr. Avg. EOC EffectLoss Reciprocal
S1 ELA.98121.0192
S2 ELA.97901.0214
S1 Math.98961.0105
S2 Math.98991.0102

13



MPI Adjustment Applied

AreaExisting MPILoss ReciprocalAdjusted MPI
S1 ELA330.91.0157336.1
S2 ELA319.61.0176325.2
S1 Math336.61.0097339.9
S2 Math324.31.0093327.3

14



Methods of MPI Adjustment

Remove EOCs (2015-2017)

3 yr. Avg. Raw MPI

Multiply by Reciprocal

Adjusted MPI

15

2017 MPI x Reciprocal

Avg 2015, 2016, Adj 2017

Adjusted MPI



MPI Adjustment Examples

 201520162017
S1 Math MPI (w/o, w/o, w/o)330.6321.2308.2
S1 Math MPI (w/, w/, w/o)337.0331.2308.2

16

Method 1: (Remove EOCs across 3 years)

3 yr avg x Reciprocal = Adjusted MPI

320.0x 1.0105 = 323.36

Method 2: (Adjust 2017 only)

Average of (2015, 2016, Adjusted 2017)

(337.0 + 331.2 + (308.2*1.0105)) = 326.5



Loss Reciprocal Appeals Projected

Content / StandardLoss ReciprocalApplied to Avg.Applied to 2017
ELA S11.015794
ELA S21.0176196
Mathematics S11.0097114
Mathematics S21.009381

17



Progress Calculation

18



High School Readiness

 LEAsProf./Adv. StudentsTotal StudentsProf./Adv. on Algebra I onlyProf./Adv. on any other EOCTotal Prof./Adv.
201580538197813.4%13.8%27.2%
201684651209012.7%18.4%31.1%
201785664217510.7%19.8%30.5%

19



High School Readiness

20



HSR: Status solutions considered

21



HSR: Status solutions considered

22


HSR_Final

 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBIBJBKBLBMBNBOBPBQBRBSBTBUBVBWBXBYBZCACBCC
1   201520162017                                                     
2CDCDistrict_Nameis_k_8_only_districtA1E1GEGVNo_EOCTotalPct P&AA1E1GVNo_EOCTotalPct P&AA1AHE1GEGVNo_EOCAny A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvProf/Adv A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvTotalPct Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvPct Prof/Adv A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvPct P&Aend_gradeS3_HSR_CONDITIONS3_HSR_PYR3_PERCENT_WITH_QUALIFYING_SCORES3_HSR_PYR2_PERCENT_WITH_QUALIFYING_SCORES3_HSR_CURR_PERCENT_WITH_QUALIFYING_SCORES3_HSR_STATUS_3YR_PERCENTS3_HSR_STATUS_wo_A1_3YR_PCT3 Yr Pct Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/Adv3 Yr Pct Prof/Adv A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvA1_IMPACT_3YR_PCTImpact 3 Yr Pct Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvImpact 3 Yr Pct Prof/Adv A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvS3_HSR_STATUS_POINTS_EARNEDS3_HSR_STATUS_wo_A1_POINTS_EARNEDS3_HSR_STATUS_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvS3_HSR_STATUS_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvA1_IMPACT_STATUS_EARNEDimpact STATUS_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvImpact STATUS Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvS3_HSR_PROGRESS_POINTS_EARNEDS3_HSR_PROGRESS_wo_A1_POINTS_EARNEDS3_HSR_progress_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvS3_HSR_progress Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvA1_IMPACT_PROGRESS_EARNEDS3_HSR_TOTAL_POINTS_EARNEDS3_HSR_TOTAL_wo_A1_POINTS_EARNEDImpact progress_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvImpact_progress Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvA1_IMPACT_TOTAL_EARNEDimpact progress_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvImpact progress Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvS3_HSR_TOTAL_POINTS_POSSIBLETOTAL_POINTS_EARNED_W_HHATOTAL_POINTS_POSSIBLETOTAL_POINTS_EARNED_W_HHA_wo_HSRTOTAL_POINTS_POSSIBLE_wo_HSRTOTAL_POINTS_EARNED_wo_A1HSR_w_HHATOTAL_POINTS_EARNED_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvTOTAL_POINTS_EARNED_Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvPCT_w_HSRPCT_wo_A1HSR_w_HHAPCT_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvPCT_Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvPCT_wout_HSRImpact_wout_HSRImpact_wout_A1HSRImpact_Any A1 with 7th gr Prof/AdvImpact_Prof/Adv_A1 with 7th gr Prof/Advw_HSRwout_A1HSRAny A1 with 7th gr Prof/Adv  
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4005127SHELL KNOB 78Y5   9140 9 31275  10  2001283.383.383.38NULL35.77583.364.752.864.764.7-11.900101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001075.58065.57075.575.575.594.494.494.494.493.6-0.8000AcAcAc  
5007126HUDSON R-IXY 1   1100 1  1100  1  10025050508NULL1001005083.383.383.383.3000101010100000000010101010000106476546664646484.284.284.284.281.8-2.4000AcAcAc  
6013057NEW YORK R-IVY    330   550     40040008NULL000000000000000000000000000001049.57649.56639.539.539.565.1525252759.9-13.1-13.1-13.1PrPrPrDID NOT TEST 2017 
7013058COWGILL R-VIY      0     0     30030008LESS THAN 3N/AN/AN/A0000000000000000000000000004066405640404060.660.660.660.671.410.8000PrPrPr  
8013060MIRABILE C-1Y    66011 2425     20020008NULL050016.78.316.716.7-8.4006066-600007.57.50601010-644105676506646565673.760.573.773.775.82.1-13.200AcPrAc  
9013062KINGSTON 42Y1   450 2 4633.32    24241005008NULL2033.35034.411.151.134.4-23.316.701001010-10007.507.57.5-7.51001010-1000106476546654646484.271.184.284.281.8-2.4-13.100AcAcAc  
10016097NELL HOLCOMB R-IVY7   1522010  182805    14541926.321.108NULL31.835.726.331.3031.329.5-31.30-1.81001010-1000000001001010-1000107080607060707087.57587.587.585.7-1.8-12.500AcAcAc  
11019140STRASBURG C-3Y 4  3757.1 6 41060  5  400955.655.655.68NULL57.16055.657.657.657.657.6000101010100007.5000-7.510101010000105976496659595977.677.677.677.674.2-3.4000AcAcAc  
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16033092GREEN FOREST R-IIY8   1826012  132507    136620303008NULL30.8483537.9036.336.3-37.9-1.6-1.61001010-10004044-41001010-1000108080707070808010087.51001001000-12.500AcAcAc  
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18033094NORTH WOOD R-IVY4   711011  193007    136620303008NULL36.436.73536034.434.4-36-1.6-1.61001010-1000000001001010-1000107180617061717188.876.388.888.887.1-1.7-12.500AcAcAc  
19034121SKYLINE R-IIY4   71101  560  7  300107070708NULL36.416.7704123.34141-17.700107.51010-2.5007.57.5440101010100001061.58051.57061.561.561.576.976.976.976.973.6-3.3000AcAcAc  
20034122PLAINVIEW R-VIIIY2   4606  41004    64310403008NULL33.3604044.4044.441.1-44.40-3.31001010-10007.507.57.5-7.51001010-1000106980597059696986.373.886.386.384.3-2-12.500AcAcAc  
21036123FRANKLIN CO. R-IIY5   131804  5908    6881457.157.108NULL27.844.457.143.1043.143.1-43.1001001010-10007.507.57.5-7.51001010-100010728062706272729077.5909088.6-1.4-12.500AcAcAc  
22036133LONEDELL R-XIVY113  173141.9211 233630.63 9  21533342.436.427.38NULL45.236.136.439.233.341.239.2-5.920101010100000000010101010000107780677077777796.396.396.396.395.7-0.6000AcAcAc  
23036134SPRING BLUFF R-XVY7   15220 21 72875  23  5002882.182.182.18NULL31.87582.16352.46363-10.600101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001076.58066.57076.576.576.595.695.695.695.695-0.6000AcAcAc  
24036135STRAIN-JAPAN R-XVIY3   6906  4100  4  200666.766.766.78NULL33.36066.753.322.253.353.3-31.100107.51010-2.5007.57.57.57.501010101000010767666667676761001001001001000000AcAcAc  
25040101SPICKARD R-IIY                      00 8LESS THAN 3N/AN/AN/A0000000000000000000000000005066505650505075.875.875.875.889.313.5000AcAcAc  
26040103PLEASANT VIEW R-VIY    440   440  2  30054040408NULL004013.313.313.313.300066660007.57.57.57.5010101010000107576656675757598.798.798.798.798.5-0.2000AcAcAc  
27040104LAREDO R-VIIY4   2603  1404    1445808008NULL66.7758073.9073.973.9-73.9001001010-10007.507.57.5-7.51001010-10001075.57665.56665.575.575.599.386.299.399.399.2-0.1-13.100AcAcAc  
28042113SHAWNEE R-IIIY 3  1475 7 2977.8  6   0061001001008NULL7577.810084.384.384.384.3000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001072.57662.56672.572.572.595.495.495.495.494.7-0.7000AcAcAc  
29042118LEESVILLE R-IXY 4  3757.1 5 51050  5  300862.562.562.58NULL57.15062.556.556.556.556.5000101010100007.57.50001010101000010608050706060607575757571.4-3.6000AcAcAc  
30042119DAVIS R-XIIY 1   1100 3 1475  3  30065050508NULL10075507575757500010101010000000001010101000010767666667676761001001001001000000AcAcAc  
31046128HOWELL VALLEY R-IY 13  51872.2 11 41573.3  11  6001764.764.764.78NULL72.273.364.770.170.170.170.1000101010100007.5000-7.5101010100001078.58068.57078.578.578.598.198.198.198.197.9-0.2000AcAcAc  
32046132RICHARDS R-VY 27  144165.9 32 124472.7  28  13004168.368.368.38NULL65.972.768.369696969000101010100007.547.57.5-3.510101010000107480647074747492.592.592.592.591.4-1.1000AcAcAc  
33046135GLENWOOD R-VIIIY 10  122245.5 13 152846.4  22  14003661.161.161.18NULL45.546.461.151515151000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001062.58052.57062.562.562.578.178.178.178.175-3.1000AcAcAc  
34046137JUNCTION HILL C-12Y 8  122040 6 91540  18  9002766.766.766.78NULL404066.748.948.948.948.9000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001064.58054.57064.564.564.580.680.680.680.677.9-2.7000AcAcAc  
35046140FAIRVIEW R-XIY 29  265552.7 29 154465.9  30  12004271.471.471.48NULL52.765.971.463.363.363.363.3000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001073.58063.57073.573.573.591.991.991.991.990.7-1.2000AcAcAc  
36047064BELLEVIEW R-IIIY   281020  391225    6400106060608NULL20256035353535000101010100007.57.57.57.5010101010000106680567066666682.582.582.582.580-2.5000AcAcAc  
37048905GENESIS SCHOOL INC.Y4   141803  12150     2210224.5008NULL22.220014.1015.614.1-14.11.506066-600000006066-6001032.58026.57022.528.528.540.628.135.635.637.9-2.7-12.5-5-5     
38048910LEE A. TOLBERT COM. ACADEMYY 6  364214.3 11 283928.2  14  31004531.131.131.18NULL14.328.231.124.524.524.524.50007.57.57.57.50007.57.57.57.5010101010000103880287038383847.547.547.547.540-7.5000     
39048911B. BANNEKER ACADEMYY    17170   242403    3122345.95.908NULL008.82.9022-2.9-0.9-0.900000002022-22022-200102580237015171731.318.821.321.332.91.6-12.5-10-10     
40048912DELLA LAMB ELEM.Y    43430   54540     4500450008NULL000000000000000000000000000001024.58024.57014.514.514.530.618.118.118.1354.4-12.5-12.5-12.5   DID NOT TEST 2017 
41048914ACADEMIE LAFAYETTEY417  416227.4423 285541.810 34  2210106666.766.751.58NULL33.949.166.749.940.249.949.9-9.700101010100007.57.57.57.5010101010000107980697079797998.898.898.898.898.6-0.2000     
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44048918KIPP: ENDEAVOR ACADEMYY611  496616.72916 236823.523 11  5318108733.324.112.68NULL25.866.239.143.717.641.838.7-26.1-1.9-51061010-4007.507.57.5-7.51061010-4001035.58025.57031.535.535.544.439.444.444.436.4-8-500     
45048926CROSSROADS ACAD OF KANSAS CITYY      0   2323011    1412725482808LESS THAN 3N/AN/AN/A0000000000000000000000000006270526062626288.688.688.688.686.7-1.9000     
46049135AVILLA R-XIIIY3   202303  16190     80080008NULL1315.809.609.69.6-9.60000000000000000000001064.58064.57054.554.554.580.668.168.168.192.111.5-12.5-12.5-12.5AcPrPrDID NOT TEST 2017 
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53068072MONITEAU CO. R-VY 5  4955.6 1 2333.3  1  40052020208NULL55.633.32036.336.336.336.3000101010100000000010101010000106676566666666686.886.886.886.884.8-2000AcAcAc  
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57073105WESTVIEW C-6Y   651154.5  681442.9    712001936.836.836.88NULL54.542.936.844.744.744.744.700010101010000000001010101000010688058706868688585858582.9-2.1000AcAcAc  
58077100THORNFIELD R-IY 3  5837.5 3 6933.3  2  30054040408NULL37.533.34036.936.936.936.900010101010000220001010101000010808070708080801001001001001000000AcAcAc  
59078003PEMISCOT CO. R-IIIY 7  71450310 720501 5  5101154.545.545.58NULL506554.556.548.556.553.5-80-3101010100007.507.54-7.51010101000010448034704444445555555548.6-6.4000PrPrPr  
60079078ALTENBURG 48Y 5  1683.3 6 41060  13  5001872.272.272.28NULL83.36072.271.871.871.871.80001010101000000000101010100001072.58062.57072.572.572.590.690.690.690.689.3-1.3000AcAcAc  
61080122PETTIS CO. R-XIIY 5  71241.7 5 81338.5 14  8001338.538.538.58NULL41.738.538.539.639.639.639.6000101010100000000010101010000104780377047474758.858.858.858.852.9-5.9000PrPrPr  
62081097PHELPS CO. R-IIIY3   1619010  182803 4  9221637.537.5258NULL15.835.743.831.88.329.729.7-23.5-2.1-2.11001010-10007.57.57.57.50107.51010-2.5001077.58067.5707577.577.596.993.896.996.996.4-0.5-3.100AcAcAc  
63082105BONCL R-XY 2  4633.3   550     80080008NULL33.30011.111.111.111.100000000000000000000001063.57663.56653.553.553.583.670.470.470.496.212.6-13.2-13.2-13.2AcAcAcDID NOT TEST 2017 
64085043SWEDEBORG R-IIIY 4  2666.7 7 1887.5  5  200771.471.471.48NULL66.787.571.475.275.275.275.2000101010100007.57.57.57.5010101010000105576456655555572.472.472.472.468.2-4.2000AcAcAc  
65088073RENICK R-VY4   121602  9110  3  610944.433.333.38NULL2518.237.526.911.129.225.5-15.82.3-1.41001010-100047.5203.5107.51010-2.5001073.58063.5707173.573.591.988.891.991.990.7-1.2-3.100AcAcAc  
66090075CENTERVILLE R-IY   22450  44850    220045050508NULL50505050505050000101010100007.5000-7.510101010000106980597069696986.386.386.386.384.3-2000AcAcAc  
67091093RIPLEY CO. R-IVY 9  91850 6 71346.2  6  12001833.333.333.38NULL5046.233.343.243.243.243.2000101010100000000010101010000106780577067676783.883.883.883.881.4-2.4000AcAcAc  
68091095RIPLEY CO. R-IIIY 9  101947.4 7 61353.8  9  300127575758NULL47.453.87558.758.758.758.7000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001067.58057.57067.567.567.584.484.484.484.482.1-2.3000AcAcAc  
69093121ROSCOE C-1Y 3  3650 3 5837.5  1  40052020208NULL5037.52035.835.835.835.8000101010100000000010101010000104176316641414153.953.953.953.947-6.9000PrPrPr  
70097116MIAMI R-IY 2  1366.7 3 14751     0010008NULL66.77510080.647.247.247.2-33.4-33.4-33.4101010100007.5000-7.51010101000010767666667676761001001001001000000AcAcAc  
71097118OREARVILLE R-IVY    330   440  3  610944.433.333.38NULL0033.311.111.114.811.103.7000600607.57.57.57.507.57.5107.502.501060.58053705860.55875.672.575.672.575.70.1-3.10-3.1AcAcAc  
72097122HARDEMAN R-XY 1  4520 4 5944.4  5  200771.471.471.48NULL2044.471.445.345.345.345.3000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001061.57651.56661.561.561.580.980.980.980.978-2.9000AcAcAc  
73097127GILLIAM C-4Y 2   2100 1  1100  2   0021001001008NULL100100100100100100100000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001059.57649.56659.559.559.578.378.378.378.375-3.3000AcAcAc  
74100064KELSO C-7Y3   71006  170   1 1700185.65.65.68NULL3085.75.640.41.940.440.4-38.5001001010-1000027.57.521021010-800106280527054626277.567.577.577.574.3-3.2-1000AcPrAc  
75106002TANEYVILLE R-IIY 4  192317.4 3 81127.3  10  12002245.545.545.58NULL17.427.345.530.130.130.130.1000101010100007.57.57.57.501010101000010808070708080801001001001001000000AcAcAc  
76106006KIRBYVILLE R-VIY93  20329.4 9 192832.1  11  17002839.339.339.38NULL37.532.139.336.326.936.336.3-9.4001010101000027.5005.510101010000107480647074747492.592.592.592.591.4-1.1000AcAcAc  
77106008MARK TWAIN R-VIIIY11  4616.712  366.7     410425008NULL33.3100044.427.852.844.4-16.68.4010101010000007.57.50101010100001067.57657.56667.567.567.588.888.888.888.887.1-1.7000AcAcAc  
78107151SUCCESS R-VIY 2  4633.3 1 3425  3  8001127.327.327.38NULL33.32527.328.528.528.528.50001010101000000000101010100001063.58053.57063.563.563.579.479.479.479.476.4-3000AcAcAc  
79107158RAYMONDVILLE R-VIIY 1  91010 9 71656.3  4  8001233.333.333.38NULL1056.333.333.233.233.233.2000101010100007.57.57.57.50101010100001066.58056.57066.566.566.583.183.183.183.180.7-2.4000AcAcAc  
80110030RICHWOODS R-VIIY   112137.7 6 111735.3  9  2000293131318NULL7.735.33124.724.724.724.70007.57.57.57.50007.57.57.57.50101010100001059.58049.57059.559.559.574.474.474.474.470.7-3.7000AcAcAc  
81114116MANES R-VY    220  63966.7    310047575758NULL066.77547.247.247.247.2000101010100007.57.57.57.5010101010000106776576667676788.288.288.288.286.4-1.8000AcAcAc  
82115903PREMIER CHARTER SCHOOLY19   7291018  7492011    8528109629.210.408NULL20.919.611.517.3023.217-17.35.9-0.3607.56-61.5000200609.56-63.5010418035703140.53751.338.850.646.350-1.3-12.5-0.7-5     
83115911CITY GARDEN MONTESSORIY4   5901  6703    13331618.818.808NULL44.414.318.825.8025.825.8-25.8001001010-1000000001001010-10001067.58057.57057.567.567.584.471.984.484.482.1-2.3-12.500     
84115912ST LOUIS LANG IMMERSION SCHOOLY      0     0     1200120008LESS THAN 3N/AN/AN/A0000000000000000000000000004170416041414158.658.658.658.668.39.7000     
85115914KIPP ST LOUIS PUBLIC SCHOOLSY38   39770 20 476729.9  17  2900463737378NULL49.429.93738.822.338.838.8-16.500107.51010-2.50007.5007.510101010000104580357045454556.356.356.356.350-6.3000     
86115915CARONDELET LEADERSHIP ACADEMYY4   212503  27300     1100110008NULL161008.708.78.7-8.70000000000000000000001026.58026.57016.516.516.533.120.620.620.637.94.8-12.5-12.5-12.5   DID NOT TEST IN 2017 
87115919PRECLARUS MASTERY ACADEMYY6   475309  384707    23853026.716.708NULL11.319.123.317.901915.7-17.91.1-2.2607.56-61.504042-4100108-100-2103080207020302837.52537.53528.6-8.9-12.50-2.5     
88115920SOUTH CITY PREPARATORY ACADEMYY10   30400     0         00010NULL2528.314.522.6017.817.8-22.6-4.8-4.87.5066-7.5-1.5-1.50000000660660     66       00     
89115925HAWTHORN LEADERSHIP SCHL GIRLSY      0     012    3113114330.225.608LESS THAN 3N/AN/AN/A000000000000000000000000000     00       00     
90115928LA SALLE CHARTER SCHOOLY      01  20210     2200220008LESS THAN 3N/AN/AN/A000000000000000000000000000     00       00     
91 STATE 2652531191440197813.8266349361439209018.4233140022815111911412175  19.8